Whilst reading the Guardian today, I came across an interesting
article which states that Gold is set to decrease in price, as demand from
institutional investors switches to other assets such as stocks, which are now
thought to offer better risk-adjusted returns. This is significant for a number
of reasons : Firstly, this means that stocks are deemed to offer better
risk-adjusted returns, which are broadly calculated by the asset’s beta rating.
Furthermore, Gold is seen largely to be a safer alternative to stocks and
derivatives. This is demonstrated by the following graphs showing Gold prices
and the FTSE 100 index:
Note the inverse
relationship between Gold price changes and the FTSE index in the midst of the
financial crisis and subsequent recession. As such, one can interpret the Gold
depreciation as being ultimately a good indicator of economic recovery, or at the very least, increasing confidence.
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