Part of the aim of my blog was to make Economics and Business accessible for anyone and everyone who doesn't have any experience or education in either field. As such, I will be posting a couple of my early AS Economics essays. Enjoy : )
N.B - Graphs cannot be displayed- Please Google AS/AD Graphs for examples.
Discuss the extent to which an increase in Aggregate Demand (AD) affects output, unemployment, and inflation (18)
The equilibrium reached by aggregate supply
(AS) and aggregate demand (AD) determines several characteristics of an
economy, such as output, unemployment, and price rises ( inflation). An increase in AD can have
varying consequences on these, dependent on several factors such as potential
increases in AS and the position upon the AS curve that the AD reaches
equilibrium with.
At the elastic section of the AS curve,
resources are abundant and prices for these resources are low, due to the
abundance of supply resulting in a supply/demand disequilibrium. During the
elastic part of the AS curve, output is low, due to the low amount of factors
of production being utilised. As labour is one of these four factors of
production (Land, Labour, Capital, Entrepreneurship), unemployment will be
high, again due to the low output meaning less factors of production being
utilised.
If AD were to rise during the elastic part of
the AS curve, output would increase, as more factors of production would be
employed to meet this demand, increasing the economy’s output and hence Gross
Domestic Product (GDP). Unemployment would decrease disproportionately, as the
cost for labour will be low, due to the supply/demand disequilibrium forcing
wages, i.e the price for labour, to be low. Due to these low wages, more people
can be employed for the equivalent price as if wages were higher and less
people were employed. However, price will remain constant, due to the
aforementioned abundance of factors of production meaning that overall cost of
production remains low. This can be displayed on the following graph :
Following the initial increase in AD, the
multiplier effect will begin to take effect, due to the circular flow of
income. As such, the initial increase in AD will multiply the long term effect
on AD, assuming injections are greater than leakages. When injections =
leakages, the multiplier effect will not take place, and AD will stop
increasing due to the multiplier effect, although other externalities may cause
further increases in aggregate demand. The multiplier effect exerted upon the
initial increase in AD at the aforementioned elastic AS/AD equilibrium may push
AD outwards to meet an equilibrium with the increasingly inelastic section of
the AS curve, as demonstrated in the following graph :
During the period of increased inelasticity,
factors of production become more scarce and hence cost more due to the supply/
demand disequilibrium. The increased scarcity of factors of production also
means that less efficient factors of production are employed due to the more
efficient factors of production having already been allocated. As a result, the
cost of production is increased due to the increased cost of factors of
production and increasing inefficiency, and this increased cost of production
is reflected in the increased price for goods and services. Unemployment
decreases, although the aforementioned increase in the cost of labour means
that less extra people can be employed relative to the aforementioned AD increase
along the elastic part of the Aggregate Supply curve, as shown by the above
graph.
If AD was to increase at this point but
remain within the increasingly inelastic , and AS was to stay constant,
unemployment would decrease as more factors of production would be required to
meet this demand, and hence more people would be employed. Price would also
rise as there would be greater competition for these factors of production,
which would also be more inefficient as the more efficient factors of
production will already have been allocated, as aforementioned. Output would
rise, due to the increased amount of goods and services sold within the economy
and the greater capacity utilisation of the overall economy. This can be
demonstrated within the following graph :
However, if firms believe that the rise in AD
will be permanent, they will invest in capital goods, one of the four factors
of production, in order to expand their Production Possibility Frontiers
(PPFs), hence shifting AS outwards. If AD rises faster than AS, a situation
called overheating will occur in the economy, i.e price rises, i.e inflation.
Unemployment should decrease, due to the outward shift in aggregate supply,
although much of this outward shift will be accounted for by the increased
capital, hence unemployment may only decrease by a small amount. Output will
also increase, again due to the increased factors of production and demand
allowing more goods and services to be created and sold within the economy.
This can be shown within the following graph :
If AD increases as much as AS, price will
remain constant due to the increased availability of factors of production
meaning that they compete to offer lower prices, keeping cost of production and
hence price low. Unemployment will decrease, due to the increased AS meaning
improved quality and/or quantity of factors of production, one of which is
labour. Output will also rise, again due to the increased factors of production
and demand allowing more goods and services to be created and sold within the
economy, shown below :
The final part of the AS curve is the
perfectly inelastic section. If AD meets an equilibrium with the AS curve here,
output is at it’s maximum amount with the supplied factors of production. As
such, unemployment is also at it’s minimum, that is, full employment, which,
under the Keynesian school of thought, 3% unemployment. Therefore, at the
perfectly inelastic section of the AS curve, an increase in AD will only bring
about an increase in price- Output and Unemployment cannot change with the
given factors of production, as the economy is already at it’s full output
given the factors of production supplied. This can be shown as follows :
To conclude, an increase in AD can alter
output, unemployment and price, dependent on the position and potential shift
or movement along AS. An increase in AD, can to the fullest extent influence all three of these indicators,
through supply/demand disequilibriums
and the multiplier effect, although the power of the increase in AD is
dependent largely on the position and equilibrium met with the AS curve.
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